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Bowser57
17-11-2005, 08:00 PM
As I'm sure some of you will remember, as we approached Xmas last year I brought up this subject.

As interesting a topic as it is anyhow, it's made even more interesting when you put some money on it.

Last year I bet 15 quid that Need For Speed Underground 2 would be the highest selling game in the week before Xmas, it won me 130 pounds or something like that.

So I've been looking into betting this year. The odds aren't up yet, but having emailed Ladbrokes.com (who I bet with last year) they've informed me the odds are going up tomorrow.

Now, keep in mind something multiformat has by far the best chance of shifting the most copies, any ideas on what it'll be people?

I'm not certain, but is there a new Need For Speed game out? (Most Wanted or something). If so that's got to be an obvious pick.

From my experience last year it makes sense to place your bet as early as possible as you're most likely to get the best odds early on if it turns out you've made a wise choice.

If you are going to place a bet, set yourself a limit you know you can afford to lose. There's no such thing as a sure thing.

Bren
17-11-2005, 08:01 PM
Liberty City Stories or Nintendogs , pro evo 5 mebe

reckon 50 cents game has a gud chance aswell,

Ashley
17-11-2005, 08:05 PM
Most Wanted is out next Friday - 25th. I think Nintendogs has a fair chance (if sales inclue the Nintendogs DS bundle) because a lot of people are going for that due to a lack of PSP. Which, by the way, I think DS is gonna sell better than PSP and Xbox 360 this xmas purely due to stock levels.

Bowser57
17-11-2005, 08:05 PM
Liberty City Stories or Nintendogs , pro evo 5 mebe

reckon 50 cents game has a gud chance aswell,


Liberty City Stories is PSP only isn't it? And Nintendogs only being on DS and having been out a while has no chance.

Heed my words, multi-format or nothing.

Stocka
17-11-2005, 08:07 PM
I can't see Most Wanted being as popular as NFSU2 to be honest, looking forward to tommorow to see the odds!

I reckon it could be something ridiculous like................
.......
.......
......
....... 50 Cent Bulletproof ...no serious..british public will love it, what with all the chavs we have.


Nintendogs are climbing up charts again mind you, with Lab and Friends back up to 4th at Gameplay.co.uk and 11th at Amazon, although I doubt they will be no.1 game, but still do well. Doubt it'll be a 360 game, Mario Kart DS maybe? unlikely but it could be in the top 5.

My money's on 50Cent or Most Wanted.

Meik
17-11-2005, 09:14 PM
I'd agree with Bowser and go for NFS Most Wanted - it's coming out on every goddamn system.

Charlie
17-11-2005, 09:17 PM
How old do you have to be to bet?

Put a tenner on NFS for me, please :)

ViPeR
17-11-2005, 09:18 PM
It'll be an EA game, which is clearly shit and has been advertised to the max.

Bowser57
17-11-2005, 09:19 PM
How old do you have to be to bet?



I'm pretty sure it's 18 at Ladbrokes.com

dukkadukka
17-11-2005, 09:20 PM
ooh, fun thread idea! i'll have a think and post my choice tomorrow.

elniro
17-11-2005, 09:46 PM
only stupid twats will buy that 50cent game, god i hate that guy and i hate pricks who buy his stuff

Ashley
17-11-2005, 09:49 PM
Well I think Nintendogs will be biggest selling game this year at least, its huuuuge!

Monopolyman
17-11-2005, 09:50 PM
Well, my money's on Cocoto Fishing Master, though that NFS Most Wanted does seem like a good choice.

Ooh, and GUN. Almost forgot that.

cheets
17-11-2005, 09:55 PM
Call of Duty 2 for me

Dieter
17-11-2005, 10:03 PM
Need For Speed: Most Wanted is pretty high up there. And guess what, it's actually good :)

Bowser57
17-11-2005, 10:11 PM
Need For Speed: Most Wanted is pretty high up there.

Yep, having looked into it some more I'm next to certain that I'll be putting my money on it.

It's on eight different formats from what I can gather.

The only thing that makes me a little unsure is that there appears to be something called the "Black Edition", which seems to feature more cars and a DVD or something. It looks like it's only on PS2, but it concerns me that that's where I'd imagine any title to shift most units, plus I wonder if the 'Black Edition" sales will count towards the final sales of Need For Speed Most Wanted under some sort of umbrella heading that'll include both versions.

Dieter
17-11-2005, 10:14 PM
Are there forums there or something, or an email address? It'd probably save you a lot of potential trouble if you just asked them that.

CVD
17-11-2005, 10:14 PM
Liberty City Stories is PSP only isn't it? And Nintendogs only being on DS and having been out a while has no chance.

Heed my words, multi-format or nothing.

This man knows what he's talking about.

I think I'll put a fiver on Need for Speed, since it's out on NGC, GBA, DS, PS2, PS2 Special edition, PSP, Xbox, Xbox 360 and PC.

JonSt
17-11-2005, 10:21 PM
I would agree with the majority and say need for speed, i would have though nintendogs has sold as much as it is going to, maybe a 360 game could be up there.

Bowser57
17-11-2005, 10:21 PM
Are there forums there or something, or an email address? It'd probably save you a lot of potential trouble if you just asked them that.

My plan is to wait until they release the odds, that way I'm hoping it'll become apparent how they're going to judge it. If they're going to judge it seperately then they'll possibly be the two different options to choose from.

Having said that I think their winner is the one that comes out the top of the ELSPA chart, so it'd depend on what they decide.

I'll maybe e-mail ELSPA actually.

The main problem I see arising is that the two different versions be counted seperately and the Black Edition will eat into the sales of the other one. Having said that of the two I'll put my money on the standard edition.

(If anyone is reading all this you have too much time on your hands).

rokhed00
17-11-2005, 10:22 PM
I think I'll have a stab at it this year, could do with a bit of extra spending money for new year.

King Kong might be quite a good one to go for, being a big movie game and all.

SupaFry
18-11-2005, 05:13 AM
I'd put my money on Need For Speed but I also think True Crime New York has a chance(assuming it get released before christmas)

Offerman
18-11-2005, 07:22 AM
Bluudy amazing idea Bowser. I always like to have a stab at this. I don't think I'l be in such good form this year having slightly slipped out of the games areas.

A good idea is to go around all the major e-sales companys like Amazon, Play, Ebuyer, Game-UK...etc. And look at their live charts. These are the game charts based soley on whats being purchased online. Its totally untouched and undoctered and very up to date.

If Christmas was say a week away I'd be inclined to say it would be Star Wars Battlefront II. Its of course a Multi-Format. And although the PS2 version is up ahead, the Xbox version is not far behind on sales.

Also to gamble you do indeed need to be 18, but of course you can lie about your age. I've been doing that for a few years now and its all be sweet-teen-arse.

masaki86
18-11-2005, 07:28 AM
http://www.ladbrokes.com/lbr_sports?action=go_type&category=SPECIALS&class_id=210000105&type_id=210001423

the odds are up; Narnia is favourite apparently.

Colin
18-11-2005, 07:47 AM
Well Bowser57, you've posted the Christmas Videogame No.1 for the last 2 years, and from what I remember you've been right about your choice for both years and I really can't see you being wrong this year at all.

It'll most likely be NFS:Most Wanted, and I've told my dad to go into my local Ladbrookes and lay a tenner down on it for me. Almost certain it'll walk away with it.

Call of Duty2: Big Red One is also a safe bet, and I may lay a fiver down on that just incase.

I really can't see it being anything else really.

Offerman
18-11-2005, 07:58 AM
Blatently SpongeBob Square Pants.

Ramar
18-11-2005, 08:04 AM
I'm 18.. A day before christmas. I would've put a fiver on NFS: MS, it makes sense with all the formats its on.

Sexual Chocolate
18-11-2005, 10:31 AM
I teh win laster year aswell, as mentioned go for a multi-format game, it makes sense to. I put £20 on NFS:MW. 8/1 odds makes it higher than last year.

The Chronicles of Narnia 3/1
Harry Potter: Goblet of Fire 6/1
King Kong 6/1
Prince of Persia 3 6/1
Call of Duty 2: Big Red One 8/1
Need For Speed: Most Wanted 8/1
Star Wars: Battlefront 2 12/1
Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories 16/1
FIFA 06 20/1
Pro Evolution Soccer 5 20/1
The Sims 2 20/1
Crazy Frog Racer 25/1
Full Spectrum Warrior: Ten Hammers 25/1
Half-Life 2 25/1
Project Gotham Racing 3 25/1
Singstar 80s 25/1
WWE Smackdown vs Raw 2006 25/1
Civilisation 4 33/1
Eye Toy 3 33/1
Football Manager 2006 33/1
Resident Evil 4 33/1
True Crime: New York City 33/1
Spongebob Squarepants: Lights, Camera, Pants 50/1

Meik
18-11-2005, 10:38 AM
I'm not usually a betting man, but the winner on this one seems so blatantly obvious that i'll probably drop a tenner on it.

There's a certain dress code to get into Ladbrokes, right? Tattered jacket, unshaven, carrying a brown bag with a bottle inside?

Sexual Chocolate
18-11-2005, 10:40 AM
Yup thats the dress code. Oh and remember people its the number one game in the games chart last week of Christmas, not the best selling game of the whole year.

Maverick
18-11-2005, 11:13 AM
Most wanted doesn't ea win like every year?

Retro_Link
18-11-2005, 11:46 AM
New Odds!!

Need For Speed: Most Wanted 3/1
The Chronicles of Narnia 3/1
Harry Potter: Goblet of Fire 6/1
King Kong 6/1
Prince of Persia 3 10/1

Surely Harry Potter is very likely?! what with the film being out in a few weeks!!

I'm 18.. A day before christmas.That's my Birthday aswell!!!!

Do you (as I do) get loads of people asking you whether you get all of your presents together?
People ALWAYS ask me that and I just don't understand why!!
Why would I? December 24th people!!!!

Dan Dare
18-11-2005, 12:08 PM
new odds. nfs is evens.

demonmike04
18-11-2005, 12:25 PM
A top selling game just for around the christmas month? It will definitly be a 360 title, huge demand so close to christmas realy gives it a very good chance. If it does, it will most probably be a racing title.

Haden
18-11-2005, 12:45 PM
http://images-eu.amazon.com/images/P/B000BRVWYU.02.LZZZZZZZ.jpg

Don't forget this guys! Shame it has already lost one customer thanks to the death of Whitely.

On a more serious note Narnia is above Need for Speed?

Bowser57
18-11-2005, 01:10 PM
Excuse the language but fucking hell.

So did Ladbrokes have NFS up at those 8-1 odds?

I'd have put no end on at that. Only just woken up to see it's at evens already.

Demonmike, don't talk silly, just how many Xbox360's are you expecting to be sold that the top selling game on it will outsell something being sold on PS2, Xbox, Gamecube, PC, DS, and Gameboy? (It's out on 360 as well I reckon).

Retro_Link
18-11-2005, 01:37 PM
There's a chance....

http://www.gametrailers.com/player.php?id=8487&pl=game&type=wmv

and with odds at 25/1

rokhed00
18-11-2005, 02:29 PM
Meh, hardly worth betting on NFS now, not at evens.
I may put a tenner on King Kong though.

AshMat
18-11-2005, 03:20 PM
What the hell do you have to do in the shitty cent game?
shouldn't it be called- 50 Cent: 9 invisible bullet holes

Ive never seen them

demonmike04
18-11-2005, 03:24 PM
http://images-eu.amazon.com/images/P/B000BRVWYU.02.LZZZZZZZ.jpg

Don't forget this guys! Shame it has already lost one customer thanks to the death of Whitely.

On a more serious note Narnia is above Need for Speed?
Is that porn sudoku? It has xplosiv written were the age should be lol...


That actualy has a chance if people are that bothered to move from paper to computer, but I doubt it. Im still with my old guess.

Platty
18-11-2005, 03:25 PM
yeah the need for speed game is a good choice but now at evens its not worth it....what about fifa06? that is out on everything and will probably be a big seller.

Colin
18-11-2005, 03:26 PM
New Odds!!

Need For Speed: Most Wanted 3/1


Do you know what time they changed them odds at all?

As hopefully my bet would have been registered before then.

Bowser57
18-11-2005, 03:27 PM
Do you know what time they changed them odds at all?

As hopefully my bet would have been registered before then.


It would have told you at the time you made your bet what odds you were betting at.

You can also log in and check your betting slip, which again will tell you what odds you made your bet at.

Charlie
18-11-2005, 03:30 PM
Just a general betting question. If you win, you get your money back and your winnings, right?

Colin
18-11-2005, 03:32 PM
It would have told you at the time you made your bet what odds you were betting at.

You can also log in and check your betting slip, which again will tell you what odds you made your bet at.

Good stuff. Well I don't really know F all about betting really, but I got my dad to do it today because he had the day off

Hopefully he did it this morning.

Blackfox
18-11-2005, 03:36 PM
Just a general betting question. If you win, you get your money back and your winnings, right?

Yeah, you get your bet back and the winnings.

Im awful at gambling so i probably wont be having a go (plus im under 18 :P)

Bowser57
18-11-2005, 03:36 PM
Just a general betting question. If you win, you get your money back and your winnings, right?

That is correct.

Atomic Boo
18-11-2005, 03:44 PM
i reckon halo 3 for the xbox 360

Ashley
18-11-2005, 06:12 PM
A top selling game just for around the christmas month? It will definitly be a 360 title, huge demand so close to christmas realy gives it a very good chance. If it does, it will most probably be a racing title.

Huge demand, teeny tiny stock (well of the console itself). Unless everyone who gets an Xbox gets 10 copies of PDZ then it won't be happening.

Sexual Chocolate
18-11-2005, 07:03 PM
Woot, got it at odds of 8/1, fanatstic.

Charlie
18-11-2005, 09:30 PM
That is correct.

Yeah, I thought so, we were playing a horse-racing/gambling game at my grans, and everyone else decided you didn't get back your original bet if you won. If we ever had evens on any of the horses it would've made sense, but we didn't, so it didn't make sense to them :heh:

Completely changing the topic, but that game is awesome, Really Nasty Horse Racing, you need 6 players to play it properly. You each get a horse, and 3 "really nasty cards" which do different things, like make people fall off at jumps, make their horses get nervous (and run side-ways) and other things like that. You then get a lane card which decides which lane you start it, inside lane goes like half the distance of outside. Depending on which lane your horse is in and which rank you have chosen for that race (6 races, you choose 1-6, different one in each race) and you get odds on horses. You then have to bet on a horse and then race. Rolling dice, you can only move in a lane with a 6, but can move out on any. So you have to block people and things.

Really good fun, especially if you win :heh:

Kurtle Squad
18-11-2005, 09:35 PM
It's sad if NFS is the top selling game. It's supposed to be crap!!

rokhed00
18-11-2005, 09:59 PM
It's sad if NFS is the top selling game. It's supposed to be crap!!


It's been getting pretty reasonable reviews so far, and NFS is one of EAs better franchises. The only reason I'm not getting it is due to lack of funds.

cheets
19-11-2005, 01:35 AM
I played the demo, its not bad but the police are unreal, u do a handbrake turn and they are right up ur arse in an instant. Also nitros doesnt shake them so far off your tail.

Also they dont have neons on customise, thank god.

Gaijin von Snikbah
19-11-2005, 02:15 AM
Here is an outragous idea: Perfect Dark Zero. If not, Ill go for King Kong. There are too many Need for Speed games. They are scaring the customers away.

cheets
19-11-2005, 02:30 AM
an xbox 360 game could have a chance, but with the poor 50,000 to 200,000 i cant see it

Atomic Boo
19-11-2005, 02:16 PM
mario kart DS should be a hot condender

Bowser57
29-11-2005, 06:28 PM
NFS Most Wanted has gone into the charts at number 1.

(Mario Kart didn't make top ten).

Stocka
29-11-2005, 06:31 PM
(Mario Kart didn't make top ten).
Yeah, 13 is good though for a game in a chart filled with so many multiformat games

Dieter
29-11-2005, 06:32 PM
NFS Underground has gone into the charts at number 1.

(Mario Kart didn't make top ten).

Underground or Most Wanted?

Bowser57
29-11-2005, 06:33 PM
Underground or Most Wanted?

Already corrected it.

Sexual Chocolate
24-12-2005, 10:10 PM
Well Ladbrokes have a paid out earning me a swift 160 bucks, thank you ladbrokes for giving great on odds on a multi format game.

Bowser57
24-12-2005, 10:21 PM
I dunno why they were silly enough to start the odds as long as they were. It was obvious from the start what would win, I just wish I'd been able to get some cash on it.